L’impact des dépenses publiques en sport sur les médailles olympiques: une analyse économétrique
Each year, a significant portion of government spending
is devoted in professional or amateur sports. Some analysts argue that these
investments contribute significantly to the success of a country at the
Olympics. We present an econometric analysis of the number of medals won at the
Olympics. We introduce public sports investment as a potentially important
factor influencing the number of medals won by a country. Our approach allows
to control for the unobservable heterogeneity of countries participating in the
Olympics. To our knowledge, we provide the first model of Olympic success using
a count data model for panel, estimated using instrumental variables and
capturing time-invariant characteristics of nations. According to our selected
specifications, a country with mean characteristics should have increased its
public sports investment by 72 to 94
million dollars, ceteris paribus, to obtain an additional medal at London
Summer Olympics in 2012.
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