Are we Running Blind Towards the Reopening of the Economy? What the Limited Amount of Available Data is and is not Telling us

On April 27, after more than a month of lockdown, Premier François Legault announced its plan to gradually reopen schools and economic activities in Québec starting on May 4. One of the main arguments raised to support this decision is that the number of COVID-related deaths outside elderly homes has remained stable, and therefore that the disease is under control in the general population. To what extent is this an appropriate characterization of the COVID-19 epidemic in the province?

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